New Home Sales Fall Hard, But Tax Breaks Could Heat Things Back Up

New Home Construction Sinks, Office Conversions on the rise

The real estate market just got a fresh dose of both reality and opportunity, according to a new June 2025 analysis from Chandan Economics. Their latest report flags two key developments that should be on every agent’s, investor’s, and savvy homeowner’s radar: a clear housing market slowdown and major pro-real estate wins tucked into federal tax legislation.

First, the red flag: new home sales in May dropped 13.7% from the month before, hitting their lowest level since October 2024. That’s not a minor blip. Inventory is rising, discounting is dragging on, and, according to Chandan, some builders are now “halting construction.” If you’re working with buyers waiting for prices to soften, or sellers expecting the frenzy of 2021-2022, this is the kind of shift that can reset expectations fast.

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Home Prices Hit Historic High—Why 78% of America’s Counties Are Now Unaffordable

Housing Unaffordable

When it comes to housing affordability, location isn’t just important, it’s crucial. ATTOM Data Solutions’ latest U.S. Home Affordability Report reveals that in the second quarter of 2025, homeownership expenses were unaffordable for typical residents in 77.9% of counties across the country. Nationally, the median home price rose to a historic high of $369,000, requiring average earners to dedicate 33.7% of their income, well above the recommended maximum of 28%,towards housing expenses.

This increasing burden is especially pronounced in populous counties such as Los Angeles County, CA; Cook County, IL (Chicago); and Maricopa County, AZ (Phoenix), where affordability has sharply declined. The report highlights how wages have stagnated compared to rapidly rising home prices: since early 2020, the median home price in the U.S. increased by 55.7%, while average wages rose by just 26.6%.

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Rent Payments Dip Again in June: Independent Landlords See Lowest Full-Pay Rate Since 2021

Landlord trying to manage falling on time rental payments

If you’re an independent landlord, or you represent one, June’s rent payment numbers might catch your attention.

According to Chandan Economics’ latest monthly tracker, only 84.3% of independently managed rental units were paid on time last month. That’s down 85 basis points from May and marks a 23-month streak of year-over-year declines in on-time payment rates. The report, based on data from RentRedi covering 73,502 units, shows a clear downward trend that landlords can’t afford to ignore.

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High Costs and Deep Debt: New Report Ranks Riskiest U.S. Housing Markets

Riskiest Housing Markets in the U.S.

It’s no secret that affordability is a concern almost everywhere, but according to ATTOM’s Q1 2025 Special Housing Risk Report, certain U.S. counties are showing more signs of vulnerability than others. Topping the list? California and New Jersey.

In total, 23 of the 50 most at-risk housing markets were in those two states—14 in California and 9 in New Jersey—according to the report, which considered home affordability, seriously underwater mortgages, foreclosures, and unemployment rates.

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REALTORS®’ Chief Economist Yun Warns: Housing Recovery Still ‘Delayed’—But the Magic Bullet May Be Near

NAR Lawrence Yun, 2025 Economic Forecast

If you were hoping for some bright spots in the real estate market this summer, you’re not alone—so was Dr. Lawrence Yun.

Yesterday, I attend the Economic Issues & Trends Forum at NAR’s Mid-Year Meetings in Washington D.C. at which, Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors, opened with a bit of candor: “I thought at this conference I would share some good news with you. Home sales are rising. Momentum is building. But we are not seeing that”.

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With Fewer Condo Investors, Is Now the Time to Buy or Sell?

Condo market slump..investors pulling out

Condo Market Hits a Decade Low for Investors—Is It an Opportunity for You?

Investor interest in U.S. condos has dropped to its lowest level in ten years, according to newly released data, with only 8,509 units purchased nationwide in Q1 2025. That marks a 3% year-over-year decline—and aside from the early-pandemic freeze, it’s the weakest quarter for condo investor activity in a decade.

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U.S. Foreclosures Climb Again: April Sees 14% Annual Jump

US Foreclosure Rate

After declining sharply during the pandemic, foreclosure activity in the U.S. is continuing its slow but steady return to pre-COVID levels. According to ATTOM’s newly released April 2025 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, foreclosure filings, including default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions, hit 36,033 nationwide last month. That’s a slight 0.4% uptick from March, but a more notable 13.9% increase from a year ago.

While that number still doesn’t come close to the monthly volumes we saw during the Great Recession, it’s the direction, and persistence, of the trend that’s worth watching. Rob Barber, CEO of ATTOM, summed it up plainly: “April’s foreclosure activity continued its gradual climb, with both starts and completions up annually… the year-over-year increases may suggest that some homeowners are beginning to feel the effects of persistent economic pressures”.

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The Most (and Least) Affordable States for Homebuyers

Most and least affordable states for housing

Housing affordability isn’t what it used to be—no surprise there. But according to a new analysis from Realtor.com, some states are still holding their own when it comes to the balance between home prices, income, and new construction. And a few names at the top of the list may surprise you.

South Carolina snagged the top spot as the most affordable state in the country, earning an overall “A” with a relatively low median price ($354,429), reasonable income-to-price ratio, and—here’s the kicker—a negative new construction premium. That means new homes there are actually selling for less than existing ones, which is about as rare as a stress-free appraisal these days.

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